Category Archives: Uncategorized

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Borrowing short to lend long = trouble

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(Latest update on January 19, 2025.) Commentary Even though it was at the heart of the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, and triggered the upheavals of 2007 and 2008, and has been causing trouble and forcing bailouts ever … Continue reading

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Yep, the 2020s feel like the 1920s

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  (Last updated September 2, 2025.) It’s hard not to notice the similarities between the 1920s and 2020s economy. Does that mean trouble is coming in 2029?   Maybe not exactly, but roughly? If so, the severity of the shock will … Continue reading

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Repo ended 2020 like it began: causing trouble

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2020 ended like it began, with dire warnings about problems in shadow banking and in its main financing scheme, the repurchase market. 2021 begins with starkly different ideas on what to do about it. Meanwhile, repo and shadow banking are … Continue reading

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The 2008 crisis: Was it traditional banks or shadow banks?

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Still think the financial crisis happened at banks? Think the extensive regulation of banks that Congress and regulators have undertaken since 2008 has solved the problem? Take a look at this chart from “Shadow Banking Reemerges, Posing Challenges to Banks … Continue reading